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8-3 Validity and Role of CAPM ​

CAPM is the best model of risk-return we have. however it has it's quirks.

CAPM test. ​

The CAPM predicts that the risk premium should increase in proportion to beta.

critics of CAPM:

  • the slope of the line has been mostly flat in recent years. low beta portfolio performance = high beta portfolio performance.
  • capm predicts that beta is the only reason that expected returns differ.

Assumptions behind CAPM ​

  • US treasury bills are risk free.
    • even if little chance of default
    • still not a guaranteed return because there may be inflation higher than than the return of bills.
  • investors can borrow money at the same rate of interest at which they can lend.
    • generally borrowing rates are higher than lending.